Recessio

Recessio is a web + mobile AI-assisted macro risk dashboard that turns messy economic data into a transparent, testable recession-risk score. Instead of black-box “nowcasts,” it shows exactly which indicators drive the model (claims, credit spreads, ISM, yield curve, real income, etc.), how sensitive the score is to revisions, and how it would have performed historically. Users can set portfolios or business exposures (e.g., housing, autos, SMB lending) and receive scenario alerts when conditions shift materially. The app pulls from public sources (FRED, BLS, BEA, Treasury) and tracks data releases, revisions, and surprises. It’s built for people who need a defensible view fast: finance teams, advisors, and operators. Reality check: it won’t predict the future perfectly—its value is making risk signals legible, comparable, and repeatable.