RiskRunway

RiskRunway is a web app (with optional desktop-friendly export) for lightweight scenario analysis that teams will actually keep updated. Users define a decision (e.g., pricing change, hiring plan, vendor switch), list 5–15 key uncertainties, and assign ranges and probabilities. The app generates a small set of defensible scenarios (base/upside/downside plus stress tests), runs Monte Carlo simulations, and outputs decision thresholds: “If churn exceeds X for Y weeks, pause hiring.” It also tracks assumptions over time by pulling actuals from spreadsheets and BI tools, flagging when reality drifts outside expected ranges. It’s an AI + traditional app: AI helps draft uncertainty lists, propose distributions, and summarize scenario narratives, but the math and inputs stay transparent and auditable. The goal is not perfect forecasting—just faster, repeatable decisions with fewer surprises.